KS2: The London effect?

Posted on December 12, 2025 by John Howson

Earlier this year, I produced a report looking at the changes in pupil teacher ratios over the past fifty years as between London boroughs and the rest of England’s local authorities that have remained on the same boundaries since 1974. London boroughs generally have had some of the ‘best’ PTRs throughout the past 50 years. As a result, it was no surprise to see how well schools in the London boroughs performed in the KS2 results for 2025, published by the DfE yesterday.

It is interesting to look at just one measure, the percentage of pupils achieving the higher standard in Reading, and the percentage change in this measure over the past decade or so.

	2015/16	2024/25
	higher	higher	difference
LA	Reading	Reading
Waltham Forest	15%	44%	29%
Redbridge	19%	45%	26%
Westminster	18%	43%	25%
Haringey	20%	43%	23%
Newham	18%	41%	23%
Hammersmith and Fulham	24%	46%	22%
Luton	11%	33%	22%
Merton	22%	44%	22%
Barking and Dagenham	15%	37%	22%
Enfield	15%	37%	22%
Sutton	25%	47%	22%
Hackney	21%	42%	21%
Brent	16%	37%	21%
Barnet	24%	44%	20%
Bexley	20%	40%	20%
Lewisham	19%	39%	20%
Southwark	19%	39%	20%
Slough	19%	39%	20%
Tower Hamlets	18%	38%	20%
Birmingham	14%	34%	20%
Leicester	11%	31%	20%
Trafford	27%	47%	20%
Solihull	20%	39%	19%
Hillingdon	19%	38%	19%
Ealing	18%	37%	19%
Wolverhampton	14%	33%	19%
Barnsley	13%	32%	19%
Thurrock	13%	32%	19%
Doncaster	11%	30%	19%
Camden	23%	42%	19%
Greenwich	22%	41%	19%
Croydon	17%	36%	19%
Richmond upon Thames	36%	54%	18%
Kingston upon Hull, City of	15%	33%	18%
Kensington and Chelsea	30%	48%	18%
Blackburn with Darwen	13%	31%	18%
Walsall	13%	31%	18%
Knowsley	12%	30%	18%
North East Lincolnshire	11%	29%	18%
Lambeth	23%	40%	17%
Stockport	22%	39%	17%
Warrington	21%	38%	17%
Stockton-on-Tees	16%	33%	17%
Bromley	27%	44%	17%
Wandsworth	25%	42%	17%
Harrow	24%	41%	17%
Milton Keynes	19%	36%	17%
Sandwell	13%	30%	17%

Leaving aside the City of London, with its one primary school that has been excluded form the dataset, 28 of the London boroughs appear in the table. This compares with 20 local authorities outside of London. None of the latter are ‘shire’ counties. Not even the Home Counties of Surrey or Hertfordshire make it into the list.

Looking at the other end of the table, there is a preponderance of counties authorities in the list

Tameside	15%	28%	13%
Southend-on-Sea	20%	33%	13%
South Gloucestershire	20%	33%	13%
Telford and Wrekin	19%	32%	13%
St. Helens	18%	31%	13%
Rochdale	14%	27%	13%
Portsmouth	14%	27%	13%
Blackpool	13%	26%	13%
Oldham	13%	26%	13%
Rutland	23%	36%	13%
Cheshire East	22%	35%	13%
Cambridgeshire	22%	35%	13%
Lancashire	17%	30%	13%
Bedford	16%	29%	13%
Cheshire West and Chester	22%	34%	12%
Havering	22%	34%	12%
Herefordshire, County of	21%	33%	12%
Nottingham	15%	27%	12%
Gateshead	20%	32%	12%
Cornwall	20%	32%	12%
Torbay	20%	32%	12%
East Sussex	19%	31%	12%
South Tyneside	18%	30%	12%
Derbyshire	18%	30%	12%
Suffolk	18%	30%	12%
Swindon	18%	30%	12%
Derby	14%	26%	12%
Warwickshire	23%	35%	12%
Oxfordshire	23%	35%	12%
Gloucestershire	23%	35%	12%
Southampton	17%	29%	12%
Hampshire	23%	34%	11%
Devon	23%	34%	11%
Bristol, City of	22%	33%	11%
North Somerset	22%	33%	11%
Lincolnshire	17%	28%	11%
Central Bedfordshire	17%	28%	11%
County Durham	20%	31%	11%
Calderdale	20%	31%	11%
Shropshire	20%	31%	11%
Sefton	18%	29%	11%
Norfolk	18%	29%	11%
East Riding of Yorkshire	18%	28%	10%
Wiltshire	23%	33%	10%
Darlington	22%	32%	10%
West Berkshire	25%	34%	9%
Bath and North East Somerset	27%	36%	9%
Brighton and Hove	26%	35%	9%
Northumberland	21%	29%	8%
Isle of Wight	16%	23%	7%

Even among the unitary authorities in the list, some, such as the East riding of Yorkshire and West Berkshire might be considered predominantly rural in nature.

So, what might be deduced from this data? Parental help does make a difference. Has the ‘gentrification’ of Walthamstow help propel it to the top of the table? To consider the issue of parental support versus government funding for schools it is worth considering the present percentage of achievement at this higher grade by schools in two parliamentary constituencies that I am familiar with; Tottenham, where I started my teaching career, and Oxford East, part of the city where I have lived and worked for the past 45 years.

SCHOOL Higher Grade RWM in KS” 2025	TOTENHAM	OXFORD EAST
A	35
B	27
C	23
D	18	18
E	17	17
F	15
G	15
H	15
I	14	14
J	13	13
K	13	13
L		13
M	12
N	11	11
O	10	10
P	9	9
Q		9
R	8
S	8
T	7	7
U	7	7
V	7	7
W	7	7
X	6
Y	6
Z	5	5
AA		5
AB		5
AC	4	4
AD	4	4
AE	3	3
AF		3
AG	2	3
AH		2
AI		2
AJ	0	0
AK		0


total	322	193
schools	28	27
average	11.5	7.1

Both might be seen as constituencies with significant pockets of deprivation, but also areas subject to ‘gentrification’ in recent years. Schools in Oxford East have a profile with lower percentages than schools in Tottenham. How much of the difference can be ascribed to parents, and how much to better funding for London schools? Of course, class sizes also matter. But, as both are urban areas, the issue of small rural schools doesn’t really arise as it would if one compared Oxford East with its neighbouring constituency of Henley.

This work is at an early stage, but it does pose the question about the deep structure of school funding and, especially, the use of average salary data in any calculations in the funding of schools.

Ethnic minority trainee teachers: still huge regional differences in trainee numbers

Posted on December 4, 2025 by John Howson

1n the autumn of 1997, Baroness Estelle Morris, at that time a junior minister in the DfE, in the new Labour government of Tony Blair, opened a conference about recruiting more ethnic minority students to become a teacher. The conference was organised by the then Teacher Training Agency. That conference was held in East London, and was followed by two more in Leeds and Birmingham.

Fast forward to the ITT census produced by the DfE today, and ask the question: how successful has the campaign to recruit certain ethnic groups into teaching been since that first conference nearly 30 years ago? Initial teacher training: trainee number census 2025 to 2026 – GOV.UK

Looking at the group that has found most difficultly in becoming a teacher over the years – Black African/Black Caribbean – there still seem to be big challenges looking at today’s data. Whether these are because students from this ethnic grouping aren’t attracted to parts of the country where there are few of their compatriots or whether there are other reasons cannot be determined just from the numbers.

However, over 500 courses have no candidates recorded from this group in the data published in Table 12 today. Just over 900 courses have between one and four candidates from the ethnic group. A further 83 courses have the number suppressed as being too low, as it might allow an individual to be identified.

A quick review of courses with the highest percentage (over 50% of each course code) shows that 24 are courses run by providers in London; just three are from outside London, and for three the name does not provide a clue to the location.

Looking at the courses with more than 100 candidates from the Black ethnic group: four are located in London – two each from UCL and Teach First – and the fifth is a national SCITT.

As might be expected, the University of East London, and several other London post 1992 universities, feature in the list of providers with between 25% and 50% of course numbers from the Black group, each with several courses in this percentage range. Most other pre-1992 universities and other post-1992 universities and the SCITTs in London have many of their courses in the 15%-25% group of providers. Few, if any, London providers feature in the list with zero percentage from the black group.

While it is good that courses in London do seem to be attracting applications from the Black ethnic group, there are still many courses in large parts of the country where that seems not to be the case. Does this matter? Would a ‘token’ representative on a single course in an institution be anything more than a token. Should we encourage such students to be trailblazers r should we accept that outside of the conurbations and a few university towns, graduates from the black ethnic group are still relatively rare.

I went to school in the 1960s with one of the few Black pupils in the school. He went on to become a teacher when Black teachers were even thinner on the ground than now, even in London.

So, there has been some progress, but not enough.

Better outcomes but rankings don’t change much

Posted on August 14, 2025 by John Howson

Congratulations to everyone receiving examination results today. And a big Thank you to all the other family members, including siblings, the teachers and other school staff, and, indeed, anyone that helped the candidates achieve their grades.

In the first year of this blog, 2013, now available as a book, TEACHERS, SCHOOLS AND VIEWS ON EDUCATION: How 2013 unfolded as viewed from my blog eBook : HOWSON, JOHN: Amazon.co.uk: Kindle Store I wrote a post comparing the percentage of A* grades between physics and media studies. At that time physics had a much higher percentage of A* outcomes than did media studies. That didn’t make physics easier than media studies as an ‘A’ Level, but might reflect the policies around who could take the subject, and of those that took the subject who were entered into the examination.

Fast forward to 2025 and we find the following

Category	Subject	Year	Number Sat	A* %	A*-A %	A*-B %	A*-C %	A*-D %
A Level UK	Physics	2025	44957	11.2	32.1	52.9	71.7	86.0
A Level UK	Media / Film / TV Studies	2025	23320	2.4	14.8	50.5	82.3	96.0

A level and Level 3 results – Summer 2025 – JCQ Joint Council for Qualifications

There is still a big difference between the percentage of candidates in the two subjects gaining A*-A results. Such differences makes it is risky to talk about average outcomes when there is a difference of more than 17 points in the percentages gaining A*-A grades between the two subjects. It is worth blanking out the subject names and asking a random group of people to tell you which set is physics and which media studies, a subject sometimes rubbished by politicians as easy.

Regular readers of this blog will know that I have been doing some work on funding across the country, and an apparent bias towards London, as measured by changes pupil teacher ratios during the past 50 years as a proxy for funding. The paper can be found on Researchgate at: (PDF) PTRS OVER TIME: A REVIEW OF PUPIL TEACHER RATIOS BETWEEN 1974 AND 2024 AND TWO PERIODS OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT RE-ORGANISATION PTRS OVER TIME: A REVIEW OF PUPIL TEACHER RATIOS

It is worth looking at how the regions fared in the ‘A’ level results. The table places the regions in the order that the percentage of A*-A grades achieved and the change between 2023 and 2025

region	Difference % A grade
North West	2.50%
Yorkshire and Humber	2.30%
London	2.10%
England	1.60%
East Midlands	1.50%
East	1.40%
West Midlands	1.30%
South East	0.90%
North East	0.80%
South West	0.70%

DfE release 14^th August 2025

It would be interesting to drill down within the regions to see whether types of schooling -see next post for national outcomes – makes a difference. Why is the improvement so small in the South West and North East regions? Is the small increase in the South East partly a result of the higher number of candidates from either private schools or selective schools where outcomes were already high. This will be one static to track over the next few years to see any possible change due to the VAT imposition on private schools.

I am sorry that there is less to say about T Levels and other Level 3 qualifications that are equally as important as A Levels to both those that took them and society as a whole.

Are we levelling up?

Posted on August 17, 2023 by John Howson

England has a teacher supply crisis in its secondary schools. Not, please note in most areas in its primary schools. Years of missed targets for trainee numbers must have an effect on the labour market unless other sources of teacher supply can be found.

From today the effect of missed targets on examination results will also start to become clear. Will those young people most likely to stay in the local economy have fared less well than those that will disappear off to a university, and then who knows where (likely London in many cases) after graduation, rather returning to their local area where they were brought up. If so, what are the consequences for those local economies?

As the latest in my series on the what happened in the labour market for teachers, as measured by advertisements tracked by TeachVac between January and the end of July 2023, I have managed a quick calculation of number of advertisements for teachers by the Free School Meal percentage of schools. This measurement might suggest whether schools with higher percentages of FSM pupils have more staff turnover?

This is a crude measure because it doesn’t standardise for school size. A better measure is for turnover measured after taking pupil numbers into account and matching the resultant outcome against the percentage of FSM pupils. I haven’t yet had time to do that calculation.

Adverts by school	>10	10-20	21-30	31-40	41+	Total schools
FSM
0-10	201	162	56	28	13	460
11-20	415	323	160	36	55	989
21-30	310	255	120	63	60	808
31-40	162	150	80	34	37	463
41-50	97	89	50	27	15	278
51-60	34	32	14	4	5	89
60+	5	4	1	0	1	11
total	1224	1015	481	192	186	3098
40+	136	125	65	31	21	378
Adverts by school	>10	10-20	21-30	31-40	41+
FSM
0-10	44%	35%	12%	6%	3%	100%
11-20	42%	33%	16%	4%	6%	100%
21-30	38%	32%	15%	8%	7%	100%
31-40	35%	32%	17%	7%	8%	100%
41-50	35%	32%	18%	10%	5%	100%
51-60	38%	36%	16%	4%	6%	100%
60+	45%	36%	9%	0%	9%	100%
total	40%	33%	16%	6%	6%	100%
40+	36%	33%	17%	8%	6%	100%

Source: TeachVac

There is some evidence from the tables that schools with lower percentages of pupils on Free School Meals do have a lower turnover of staff, and that schools with a higher percentage of such pupil do experience did experience high numbers of advertisements for teaching staff during the January to July 2023 period.

This type of analysis is important because too often the focus is on the student: attendance rates; previous history of examination taking and other factor such as free school meals, but these are not linked to school factors.

Thus, today, BBC Radio 4 has been worrying about the performance of students in the North East compared to students in London. Nick Gibb, The Minister, on the world at One on Radio 4, (I don’t often agree with him), but I do in this instance, suggested it was more a London and the rest of the country difference. However, The Minister didn’t say that there are more independent schools in the south than the north, and that the ability to recruit staff might be a factor in the widening gap in outcomes between those regarded as ‘disadvantaged’ and other pupils.

To ignore staff turnover, is to miss an important component in a system that has failed to train sufficient teachers in many subjects for nearly a decade now. Such shortfall in a market-based recruitment system must surely have consequences?

Secondary School Leadership Vacancies – January to July 2023

Posted on August 8, 2023 by John Howson

Secondary Leadership Scale Vacancies

The Leadership Scale contains three main groups of vacancies: assistant heads; deputy heads and headteachers. There are also executive head teachers in academy trusts, but those posts are not included in this analysis.

Assistant Head vacancies

Vacancies in the three leadership grades in the secondary sector are sufficiently numerous to warrant consideration for each individual grade of assistant; deputy and headteacher. Although TeachVac collects data from the private school sector, these tables only contain details of vacancies for leadership posts in state schools across England.

2022 State Secondary Sector -Assistant headteacher vacancies
GOR	Vacancies
East Midlands	102
East of England	173
London	248
North East	39
North West	164
South East	201
South West	174
West Midlands	138
Yorkshire & the Humber	129
Grand Total	1368

2023 State Secondary Sector – Assistant headteacher vacancies
GOR	Vacancies	Difference 2023 on 2022
East Midlands	120	18
East of England	180	7
London	241	-7
North East	24	-15
North West	154	-10
South East	221	20
South West	128	-46
West Midlands	139	1
Yorkshire & the Humber	139	10
Grand Total	1346	-22

In 2023 there were more vacancies at this level in the South East than in 2022, whereas in the South West there were fewer recorded advertisements than in the same period in 2022. London and the South East regions account for 33% of the vacancies at this level in 2022 and 34% in 2023. Vacancies at this level were rare in both years. However, some schools might have advertised internally or in a form not caught by TeachVac’s recording of the data.

Deputy Head Vacancies

As with the assistant head grade, there were very similar numbers of advertisements for deputy heads during the first seven months of 2023 advertised by state secondary schools in England when compared with the same schools during the same period in 2022.

Deputy Head 2022
GOR	Vacancies
East Midlands	67
East of England	74
London	132
North East	28
North West	93
South East	119
South West	74
West Midlands	77
Yorkshire & the Humber	98
Grand Total	762

Deputy Head 2023
GOR	Vacancies	Difference 2023 on 2022
East Midlands	72	5
East of England	86	12
London	134	2
North East	24	-4
North West	88	-5
South East	147	28
South West	59	-15
West Midlands	63	-14
Yorkshire & the Humber	94	-4
Grand Total	767	5

Source: TeachVac

Although the overall total of advertisements was similar in 2023 to the number in 2022, there were some regional differences, with more vacancies being advertised by schools in the south East and the East of England and fewer advertisements in the south West and West Midlands.

Headteacher vacancies

As with both the assistant and deputy head teacher grades, in the first seven months of 2023 the number of advertisements logged for headteacher vacancies was very similar to the number recorded during the same period of 2022.

Headteacher 2022
GOR	Vacancies
East Midlands	26
East of England	31
London	55
North East	18
North West	43
South East	48
South West	54
West Midlands	46
Yorkshire & the Humber	44
Grand Total	365

Headteacher 2023
GOR	Vacancies	Difference 2023 on 2022
East Midlands	19	-7
East of England	47	16
London	38	-17
North East	12	-6
North West	44	1
South East	59	11
South West	48	-6
West Midlands	47	1
Yorkshire & the Humber	44	0
Grand Total	358	-7

Source: TeachVac

As with deputy head advertisements, there were more advertisements for headteachers in the South East and East of England in 2023, and fewer in London, where at least one secondary school closed in the summer of 2023. It seems likely that some of the increases may be the result of new schools opening following the building of new housing estates in the Home Counties.

Most secondary schools are able to appoint a new headteacher after their first advertisement. However, around 10% of schools require more than one advertisement before they can fill their headteacher vacancy.

As an exercise, all schools with a re-advertisement for their headteacher posts were matched with their percentage of pupils listed as eligible for Free School Meals. The 33 schools identified as having re-advertised their headteacher vacancy were divided into three groups: schools with less than 20% FSM; 20-25% FSM and schools with more than 25% FSM

The analysis showed that in 2023 there were:

12 schools in the less than 20% FSM group

4 schools with between 20-25% FSM group

17 schools with 25%+ FSM, including two schools with more than 40% that had both readvertised twice so far in 2023.

The below 20% FSM group contained two Roman Catholic schools and a Church of England Middle school. These are schools of a type that often finds recruiting a new headteacher challenging.

Repeating the exercise at the end of September might well add some more schools to the list of those re-advertising for a headteacher as schools often wait until the autumn before re-advertising.

Reduced ITT numbers; who wins?

Posted on June 28, 2023 by John Howson

A review of the detail behind last December’s DfE ITT Census can shine some interesting light on how the current recruitment crisis can affect different schools.

Broadly speaking, trainees can be classified into three groups: those in school and the classroom and receiving a salary; those on school centred courses, but not salaried and finally, those in higher education or other associated courses. The first group are most likely to be employed in the schools where they are training, and so are not considered part of the pool of job seekers for September vacancies.

The second group may be employed by the schools where they are based, and such schools are wise to consider this option.

The third group are likely to be on the free market as job seekers for September vacancies. How have the numbers differed between 2019 and 2022? I looked at the data from the DfE’s ITT Census for three regions: London; the South East and the North East regions.

London	2019	2022
High Achievers	641	1393
Apprenticeships	65	368
School Direct Salaried Route	1044	285
sub total	1750	2046
SCITT	253	457
School Direct Fee Route	810	496
sub total	1063	953
Higher Education	837	656
total	3650	3655
Adjust for HA		2900

South East	2019	2022
High Achievers	220	0
Apprenticeships	33	97
School Direct Salaried Route	577	175
sub total	830	272
SCITT	488	687
School Direct Fee Route	1137	828
sub total	1625	1515
Higher Education	1566	1252
total	3768	2942
Adjust for HA		3150

North East	2019	2022
High Achievers	87	0
Apprenticeships	10	19
School Direct Salaried Route	15	7
sub total	112	26
SCITT	340	207
School Direct Fee Route	413	327
sub total	753	534
Higher Education	618	375
total	1483	935
Adjust for HA		1,000

Source DfE ITT Census as accessed by TeachVac

The first issue is that the High Achiever numbers were all allocated to the London region in the 2022 census, whereas, in 2019, they were allocated according to the region where they were located. This has the effect of inflating trainee numbers in London in 2022, and reducing them in some other regions. I have used the 2019 numbers to compensate, but it is obviously an estimate. I am not sure why the DfE has made this change, but it is unhelpful.

The second issue is that the postgraduate numbers used in the table do not distinguish between primary and secondary courses. Part of the reduction in numbers may be down to a fall in primary course targets and allocations.

However, In the London region, the change, after adjusting for the High Achiever over-counting, resulted in a small switch in percentage terms from trainees in the first group of school-based trainees to those in the second group, with the third group of higher education classified trainees remaining at 23% of the graduate total (Not all this group are universities and some may be counted in the region where a national provider has its headquarters). However, this meant a loss of nearly 200 trainees from the free market total between 2019 and 2022. This goes some way to explain the challenges schools in London dependent upon the free market for new teachers have faced this year.

In the South East region, using the adjusted figures, the free pool percentage of trainees fell from 42% to 40% in 2022. With the reduction in recruitment, this meant a loss to the free pool of some 300 trainees, about eight per cent less than the 2019 total.

In the North East, the decline in the free pool was only around 4%, from 42% to 38%, but the decline in the actual number was nearly 500 trainees. This explains why some schools in the North East are experiencing recruitment difficulties in 2023.

As I wrote, way back in 1995, in Managing Partnerships in Teacher Training and Development by Bines and Welton (Routledge, page 213) schools that become involved the teacher preparation process can be winners in times of teacher shortages. The same is as true today as it was when I first wrote those words.

London secondary school to close this summer

Posted on April 13, 2023 by John Howson

Falling rolls have caused the closure of a secondary school in South London. Despite much of the country still battling with increasing pupil numbers across the secondary school sector, a London secondary school has announced its closure at the end of the summer term.

The statement on the school’s website states that;

The Southwark Diocesan Board of Education, Multi Academy Trust (SDBE MAT)

Due to the significant and ongoing challenges with falling pupil and application numbers in schools across London Local Authorities and the London Borough of Lambeth, and after considerable review subject to a listening period, it has been proposed to close The Archbishop Tenison’s Secondary School, Oval by the end of the academic year (August 2023).

We understand the importance of continuing education for the students impacted by this decision and are working closely with parents, the school and colleagues at Lambeth Council, who are in the process of providing offer details for pupil placements in the academic year 2023-2024.

This closure will not be the last school closure, and raises important questions, including how soon after the unified admissions date for September entry should any closure be announced? Indeed, should closures be announced ahead of the general admissions date, and a hard date set by the DfE beyond which no state school will close for the following school-year and will be supported, if necessary, by special funding?

There are always issues with examination years and at least in this case:

The priority is for the current year 10 to have as minimal amount of disruption as they move into their final year of GCSEs as possible. The year 10’s will move as a bulk class to St Gabriel’s College which will match the curriculum and recruit some key staff from ATS to support the transition. Year 10 families are entitled to parental choice and to select a different school but we would encourage the move to St Gabriel’s College as it will support the GCSE offer that young people are already studying.

This suggests that planning had been taking place in the background. Fortunately, as this is London, there should be minimal extra transport costs as TfL picks up that bill across the capital.

However, what is the role of The Regional School commissions – this is an academy? The local authority – that much maligned democratically elected body that it seems still plays an important part in state education – and in this case the diocese?

The Diocesan Board of Education has issued a statement including the following;

As one of the longest established schools in London with a rich history of provision in Lambeth, Archbishop Tenison’s leaves behind a great legacy of achievements. Our hope is that students will go on to receive a continued, strong, and positive local education in a ‘good’ OFSTED school.

The Rt Revd Dr Rosemarie Mallett, Bishop of Croydon and Chair of the Board of Education said: “We hope that every family, every child and every staff member will know that we are praying for them, the situation and for flourishing going forward into the future.”

I am not sure if there is a word missing before ‘flourishing’, but perhaps this is an example of a more secular society shunning church schools. However, it may be the fate of an 11-16 school rated inadequate by Ofsted at their last visit that has succumbed to market forces and been squeezed out of existence by the workings of parental choice in an area with multiple alternative choice of schools and a good transport network.

The London Evening Standard newspaper, where I picked up this story predict that

In an attempt to avoid school closures, Lambeth Council is reducing places at a number of primary schools in the borough from next year and intending to merge eight schools. But the council has limited control over what secondary schools in the borough do, as most are academies like Archbishop Tenison’s and outside of local authority control.

This is, therefore, a warning sign for the DfE that some sensible planning needs to be put in place in a system where many but not all schools are academies and some rationalisation of the system will be needed because of falling rolls and budget deficits as schools struggle to stay open and spend ever more on marketing to attract a declining number of pupils.

Either make all schools academies, and control the distribution of schools at the DfE or give local authorities planning control over all admissions and a say over the number and distribution of schools to meet local needs. Inaction is not an option, especially in urban areas with a plethora of small unitary authorities whatever their actual titles.

Archbishop Tenison’s School – Home (tenisons.com)

South London school forced to shut because it doesn’t have enough pupils (msn.com)

Big increase in teacher vacancies across London

Posted on April 4, 2023 by John Howson

At the end of the first quarter of 2023, it is interesting to look at the trends in vacancies for classroom teacher vacancies in the secondary sector. I thought that London would be a good place to start such an analysis. The boroughs are a well-defined area that covers two pay zones: Inner and Outer London.

I the first quarter of 2023, TeachVac www.teachvac.co.uk recorded some 2,528 vacancies from secondary and all-age schools in the capital’s boroughs.

London
	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
January	655	983	1251	394	1177	1451
February	607	914	1324	765	821	1674
March	922	1432	1430	1181	2071	2528
April	1032	1393	953	1028	1770
May	1490	1754	918	1865	2683
June	526	795	417	957	1289
July	118	221	112	150	411
August	79	88	48	54	210
September	328	507	324	528	920
October	479	636	430	550	913
November	471	598	397	667	946
December	273	439	243	372	594

Source: TeachVac http://www.teachvac.co.uk

The total for the quarter was a new record , and was some 25% above the figure for the first quarter of 2022; itself a new record for the period since 2018. If the trend continues then May’s number will exceed 3,000 in a month for the first time. April is usually quieter than either march or May due to the Easter holidays. How the Coronation will affect may’s vacancies is a matter for conjecture at present.

Government Office Region: London
Local Authority: All

Top of Form

Subject	2022	2023	Percentage +/-
Art	114	145	+27%
Business	128	130	+2%
Classics	31	28	-10%
Computer Science	221	362	+64%
Dance	5	8	+60%
Drama	111	105	-5%
DT	288	360	+25%
Economics	115	86	-25%
Engineering	1	0	-100%
English	464	551	+19%
Geography	239	350	+46%
Health and Social Care	31	24	-23%
History	148	196	+32%
Humanities	18	49	+172%
Law	3	6	+100%
Mathematics	522	646	+24%
Media Studies	23	37	+61%
MFL	310	369	+19%
Music	158	179	+13%
Pastoral	45	81	+80%
PE	172	234	+36%
Philosophy	14	16	+14%
Psychology	72	73	+1%
RE	192	242	+26%
Science	744	866	+16%
–Biology	84	85	+1%
–Chemistry	111	104	-6%
–Physics	124	172	+39%
SEN	94	89	-5%
Sociology	42	48	+14%
Total	4305	5280	+23%

Source TeachVac http://www.teachvac.co.uk

Yesterday, I posted the data for England as a whole and the picture for London broadly follows the national trend but with some much higher percentage increases in the first quarter of 2023 over the same period in 2022. For instance, computing vacancies are up by 64% and geography by 46%. Whether it is a result of the increased concern over the mental health or rising pupil rolls in parts of the capital, but pastoral post vacancies have increased by 80% when compared with Q1 in 2022. However, SEN vacancies fell by 5% year on year.

Outer London boroughs dominate the top of the table for vacancies recorded in the secondary sector by borough (These include both state and private school teaching vacancies – hence the total for the city of London).

Local Authority	Q1 2023
Barnet	371
Croydon	336
Enfield	248
Bromley	247
Hillingdon	236
Hounslow	230
Ealing	223
Bexley	214
Harrow	212
Southwark	208
Redbridge	199
Westminster	197
Sutton	172
Wandsworth	170
Newham	161
Richmond upon Thames	159
Greenwich	158
Brent	155
Hackney	144
Merton	143
Camden	141
Kingston upon Thames	141
Waltham Forest	141
Barking and Dagenham	129
Lambeth	128
Lewisham	117
Tower Hamlets	117
Haringey	112
Hammersmith and Fulham	87
Havering	75
Islington	71
Kensington and Chelsea	51
City of London	26
Grand Total	5519

Source: TeachVac http://www.teachvac.co.uk

With the issues of low numbers of trainees, schools in London without access to Teach First’s High Achievers programme may struggle to recruit staff for September and certainly for January 2024 appointments.

Is your school using TeachVac?

Posted on January 13, 2023 by John Howson

Created eight years ago, TeachVac www.teachvac.co.uk has already matched nearly 4,000 teaching posts so far in 2023 with teachers and other interested in filling these jobs.

After eight years of being a free service TeachVac now charges secondary schools less than £10 per week -£500 per year plus VAT – for matching all their teaching posts for a year with its ever growing database of new and experienced teachers and recruitment companies. Primary schools pay £75 per year and can be free to academy trusts and other groups of schools that sign-on together with at least one secondary school.

Schools can sign up on the website – use the button to start the registration process or email enquiries@teachvac.co.uk and the staff will answer any queries about the service.

As TeachVac has traditionally had more jobs that the DfE site, it is a better place for jobseekers to register to be sent the links to jobs that meet with their specifications and a few that they might not have thought about. New registrations are being added to the list of those matched with vacancies every day.

With 75% of the teaching posts in 2023 posted by schools in or around London, schools in London, the south East and East of England should be at the front of the queue in signing up to TeachVac. Can you afford to miss out on access to the jobseekers in TeachVac’s database that receive relevant new jobs every afternoon. www.teachvac.co.uk

As an example, those teachers looking for a maths teacher post in North London will have received details of 14 different vacancies over the past two days from TeachVac. If your school isn’t using TeachVac then your vacancy won’t have been one of these sent to TeachVac’s users, if you posted one.

TeachVac is looking to use the income from schools to expand into offering a similar service for non-teaching posts and if enough schools sign-up the additional cost would be minimal. In the school-term, where schools offer a visa service for overseas applicants we will be introducing that fact into the matching service shortly.

TeachVac’s users are loyal, with 75% of all registered users still receiving daily matches,. This allows teachers considering a move or looking for promotion to monitor the job market in the area where they are interested in working. Feedback tells us teachers used TeachVac to secure their job.

However, there are shortages of teachers in some subjects and TeachVac acknowledges that fact. But by not using the TeachVac platform for less than £10 per week schools can miss out on TeachVac sending their job details to those that are registered with TeachVac. Is it worth the risk for just £10 per week?

Tomorrow, TeachVac will publish an analysis of the first two weeks of 2023 compared with the same period in 2022 and compare the position with the government’s ITT census of trainees expected to be job hunting for a September 2023 post. The figures in some subjects will look extremely worrying.

Middle Leaders: Hard to Find. Part 3 – What matters?

Posted on November 10, 2022 by John Howson

This is the final blog post in the series of three posts about re-advertised TLR level vacancies in geography recorded by TeachVac at http://www.teachvac.co.uk. In this post some of the evidence about school outcomes and the need to re-advertise are considered.

The number of schools in the sample is 80 for this exercise. The number is lower than in the previous posts for two reasons. There are a small number of independent schools in the sample and also a number of new schools. Both groups do not have data on Attainment.

Although there are discussions about the utility of the DfE’s Attainment 8 measure, this measure in its provisional outcome state for 2022 was used to classify the schools.

Of the 80 school, 24 had an Attainment 8 score better than that of the score for their local authority as a whole. This meant that 56 schools with re-advertised posts were below the average for their local authority as a whole.

Of the 24 schools that scored better than their LA average for all schools, eight were located in London; three in the South East and two in the East of England. Thus, 13 of the 24 might be seen as schools in London and the Home Counties where house prices might restrict the ability of teachers to move into a particular area.

Not only did the schools re-advertising perform worse in Attainment 8 than local schools, but in the case of 41 of the 80 schools they were also below the average for all schools in England.

Another characteristic of the schools re-advertising was that in 53 out of the 80 cases, the school re-advertising had a percentage of pupils on Free School Meals at some point in the last six years that was above the national average for England, in some cases markedly so.

Of course, other factors, such as the time of year of the initial advertisements may make a difference in terms of the need to re-advertise, but many of the schools in the sample experienced more than one round of re-advertisements for their TLR vacancy.

Another interesting feature is the presence of six schools from one large Multi-Academy Trust in the sample of 80 schools and three from another large MAT. Is their presence just a matter of the size of the MAT? Perhaps, in some cases, they have taken on schools in challenging circumstances that might seem less attractive places in which to work. Some of the schools are in parts of London with high housing costs, and that may be another issue.

Some years ago, during the coalition government there was a trial scheme designed to place middle leaders in schools finding recruitment a challenge. For some reason, Yorkshire and Lancashire authorities were selected for the trial. At the time the choice of area seemed odd to me. As it was, for several reasons, the scheme never progressed beyond the trial stage, although various potential bidders did contact me about participating in possible bids.

The data for this study came from TeachVac. Schools can have access to TeachVac’s data and analysis by signing up to the vacancy matching service. The basis cost is just £1 per vacancy match made with a teacher with a maximum cost of £500 per year. Schools should go to www.teachvac.co.uk to sign up and see whether there are any special offers either for groups or for different types of school.

John Howson

Education and the numbers that affect what happens

Tag Archives: London schools

KS2: The London effect?

Ethnic minority trainee teachers: still huge regional differences in trainee numbers

Better outcomes but rankings don’t change much

Are we levelling up?

Secondary School Leadership Vacancies – January to July 2023

Reduced ITT numbers; who wins?

London secondary school to close this summer

Big increase in teacher vacancies across London

Is your school using TeachVac?

Middle Leaders: Hard to Find. Part 3 – What matters?