At the end of the first quarter of 2023, it is interesting to look at the trends in vacancies for classroom teacher vacancies in the secondary sector. I thought that London would be a good place to start such an analysis. The boroughs are a well-defined area that covers two pay zones: Inner and Outer London.

I the first quarter of 2023, TeachVac www.teachvac.co.uk recorded some 2,528 vacancies from secondary and all-age schools in the capital’s boroughs.

London
	2018	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023
January	655	983	1251	394	1177	1451
February	607	914	1324	765	821	1674
March	922	1432	1430	1181	2071	2528
April	1032	1393	953	1028	1770
May	1490	1754	918	1865	2683
June	526	795	417	957	1289
July	118	221	112	150	411
August	79	88	48	54	210
September	328	507	324	528	920
October	479	636	430	550	913
November	471	598	397	667	946
December	273	439	243	372	594

The total for the quarter was a new record , and was some 25% above the figure for the first quarter of 2022; itself a new record for the period since 2018. If the trend continues then May’s number will exceed 3,000 in a month for the first time. April is usually quieter than either march or May due to the Easter holidays. How the Coronation will affect may’s vacancies is a matter for conjecture at present.

Government Office Region: London
Local Authority: All

Top of Form

Subject	2022	2023	Percentage +/-
Art	114	145	+27%
Business	128	130	+2%
Classics	31	28	-10%
Computer Science	221	362	+64%
Dance	5	8	+60%
Drama	111	105	-5%
DT	288	360	+25%
Economics	115	86	-25%
Engineering	1	0	-100%
English	464	551	+19%
Geography	239	350	+46%
Health and Social Care	31	24	-23%
History	148	196	+32%
Humanities	18	49	+172%
Law	3	6	+100%
Mathematics	522	646	+24%
Media Studies	23	37	+61%
MFL	310	369	+19%
Music	158	179	+13%
Pastoral	45	81	+80%
PE	172	234	+36%
Philosophy	14	16	+14%
Psychology	72	73	+1%
RE	192	242	+26%
Science	744	866	+16%
–Biology	84	85	+1%
–Chemistry	111	104	-6%
–Physics	124	172	+39%
SEN	94	89	-5%
Sociology	42	48	+14%
Total	4305	5280	+23%

Yesterday, I posted the data for England as a whole and the picture for London broadly follows the national trend but with some much higher percentage increases in the first quarter of 2023 over the same period in 2022. For instance, computing vacancies are up by 64% and geography by 46%. Whether it is a result of the increased concern over the mental health or rising pupil rolls in parts of the capital, but pastoral post vacancies have increased by 80% when compared with Q1 in 2022. However, SEN vacancies fell by 5% year on year.

Outer London boroughs dominate the top of the table for vacancies recorded in the secondary sector by borough (These include both state and private school teaching vacancies – hence the total for the city of London).

Local Authority	Q1 2023
Barnet	371
Croydon	336
Enfield	248
Bromley	247
Hillingdon	236
Hounslow	230
Ealing	223
Bexley	214
Harrow	212
Southwark	208
Redbridge	199
Westminster	197
Sutton	172
Wandsworth	170
Newham	161
Richmond upon Thames	159
Greenwich	158
Brent	155
Hackney	144
Merton	143
Camden	141
Kingston upon Thames	141
Waltham Forest	141
Barking and Dagenham	129
Lambeth	128
Lewisham	117
Tower Hamlets	117
Haringey	112
Hammersmith and Fulham	87
Havering	75
Islington	71
Kensington and Chelsea	51
City of London	26
Grand Total	5519

With the issues of low numbers of trainees, schools in London without access to Teach First’s High Achievers programme may struggle to recruit staff for September and certainly for January 2024 appointments.