45,000 teacher vacancies were advertised so far in 2022. There were only 65,000 vacancies advertised during the whole of 2021, so demand in 2022 is much higher than in recent years. The pool of teachers to fill these vacancies has largely been exhausted, and secondary schools seeking teachers of most subjects, apart for PE, history, drama and art, will struggle to find candidates to appoint during the remainder of 2022 regardless of wherever the school is located in England.
The data, correct up to Friday 29th April was collected by TeachVac, the National Vacancy Service for all teachers. www.teachvac.co.uk The situation in terms of teacher supply at the end of April is worse than in any of the eight years that TeachVac has been collecting data on teacher vacancies.
Schools can recruit teachers from various sources, including those on initial teacher training courses where they are not already committed to a school (Teach First and School Direct Salaried trainees are employed by specific schools); teachers moving schools and the broad group classified as ‘returners’ to teaching. This last group includes that previously economically inactive, usually as a result of a career break to care for young children or elderly relatives, plus those switching from other sectors of education including further education or returning from a period teaching overseas.
In extremis, where schools cannot find any candidates from these routes, a school may employ an ‘unqualified teacher’. This year that may include Ukrainian teachers displaced by the war as well as anyone else willing to take a teaching post. This was the route that I entered teaching in 1971. Generally, such teachers need considerable support in the early stages of their careers.
Normally, the labour market for teachers is a ‘free market’ with vacancies advertised and anyone free to apply. Can such a situation be allowed to continue? The DfE should convene a summit of interested parties to discuss the consequences of the present lack of supply of teachers facing schools across England looking to recruit a teacher in a wide range of subjects.
On the agenda should be, the effect of a lack of supply on the levelling up agenda; the costs of trying to recruit teachers; how best to use the remaining supply of PE, history, art, drama and primary sector trained teachers to make maximum use of scare resources, and how to handle any influx of ‘unqualified’ teachers.
The data for geography teacher vacancies, not normally seen as a shortage subject, reveals the seriousness of the current position for schools still seeking to fill a vacancy for September 2022 or faced with an unexpected vacancy in the autumn for January 2023.
| jobs 2015 | jobs 2016 | jobs 2017 | jobs 2018 | jobs 2019 | jobs 2020 | jobs 2021 | jobs 2022 | |
| 07/01/2022 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35 |
| 14/01/2022 | 56 | 79 | 76 | 75 | 47 | 56 | 41 | 92 |
| 21/01/2022 | 56 | 129 | 130 | 135 | 93 | 119 | 73 | 164 |
| 28/01/2022 | 114 | 152 | 165 | 174 | 159 | 186 | 106 | 240 |
| 04/02/2022 | 157 | 188 | 200 | 220 | 208 | 265 | 149 | 324 |
| 11/02/2022 | 182 | 236 | 235 | 270 | 262 | 341 | 206 | 399 |
| 18/02/2022 | 190 | 261 | 272 | 302 | 324 | 436 | 250 | 471 |
| 25/02/2022 | 190 | 291 | 318 | 336 | 356 | 476 | 268 | 541 |
| 04/03/2022 | 254 | 349 | 383 | 370 | 398 | 537 | 321 | 625 |
| 11/03/2022 | 289 | 387 | 438 | 468 | 477 | 629 | 375 | 739 |
| 18/03/2022 | 320 | 423 | 491 | 492 | 527 | 712 | 421 | 834 |
| 25/03/2022 | 367 | 451 | 537 | 533 | 592 | 754 | 487 | 958 |
| 01/04/2022 | 381 | 487 | 593 | 580 | 656 | 794 | 553 | 1078 |
| 08/04/2022 | 381 | 512 | 638 | 603 | 747 | 837 | 578 | 1175 |
| 15/04/2022 | 483 | 565 | 662 | 639 | 801 | 870 | 601 | 1220 |
| 22/04/2022 | 550 | 624 | 695 | 687 | 826 | 902 | 664 | 1288 |
| 29/04/2022 | 613 | 680 | 767 | 788 | 881 | 966 | 748 | 1440 |
| 06/05/2022 | 652 | 711 | 825 | 863 | 986 | 1029 | 814 | |
| 13/05/2022 | 715 | 767 | 884 | 936 | 1063 | 1088 | 903 | |
| 20/05/2022 | 778 | 814 | 932 | 1007 | 1137 | 1153 | 977 | |
| 27/05/2022 | 803 | 845 | 987 | 1068 | 1208 | 1190 | 1043 |
With recruitment into training for courses starting in September 2022, already under pressure the issue of teacher supply is not just one for this year. Unless teaching is made a more attractive career and steps are taken to ensure maximum effective use of the teachers available then some children’s education will be compromised and their future career choices put in jeopardy.