My previous post contained the good news for the government in the headline data about their annual census of those on teacher preparation courses. Digging down into the details of the census, there is at least one worrying trend. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/initial-teacher-training-trainee-number-census-2025-to-2026
The percentage of accepted ITT candidates within each nationality group for selected subjects for 2024/25 and 2025/26
| Percentage of accepted candidates | ||||||
| UK and Irish national | EEA national | Other nationality | ||||
| 2024/25 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2025/26 | |
| Total | 88% | 86% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 9% |
| Primary | 94% | 94% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Secondary | 84% | 82% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 13% |
| STEM Subjects | 76% | 74% | 5% | 5% | 19% | 22% |
| Physics | 43% | 32% | 3% | 2% | 54% | 66% |
| English | 93% | 93% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 5% |
| Mathematics | 81% | 81% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 14% |
- High Potential ITT (HPITT) route and undergraduate routes are not included in this data.
- Subject-level candidate totals will not sum to the total candidate number due to duplication caused by candidates applying for multiple subjects.
The footnote about undergraduate routes should not be of concern as there are relatively few such courses for secondary subjects, and the numbers on primary undergraduate courses have been declining over the longer-term.
Of much more concern is the decline in percentage of accepted candidates for physics from the UK and Ireland, down from 43% last year to 32% this year. This has been balanced by and increase from 54% to 66% for candidates from outside the UK and EEA areas.
As there has bene a dramatic increase in the numbers of trainees in physics, does this matter?
On these percentages, the increase in UK and Irish trainees has been from only around 185 last year to 220 this year. That seems like a very small number and worth investigating to see if I am correct?
If I am correct, then the key issue is, where will the trainees from the rest of the world be able to teach? Will the present government’s stricter policies on immigration mean that they won’t be able to teach in England, or as graduates earning a good salary will they be given visas?
Of course, they may choose to teach in the new British state sponsored selective school being established in both India and the UAE that was recently approved by the Labour government.
British Education is a global export, regardless of the PISA scores of home students, and the destination of trainees, both within the state and private systems, as well as overseas, is an important piece of information Minister should pay more attention to than they do at present.
The number of Uk trainees is likely to be boosted in physics by those training through the High Potential route (Formerly known as Teach First), However, the data for those candidates is not included in the census this year.
No doubt there is room for some interesting parliamentary questions about trainee teachers and where they come from and where they go on to teach, especially for those that receive bursaries and other financial support from the State.