Youth Custody: an update

Posted on February 21, 2026 by John Howson

Following on from my last blog post about an incidence of knife crime in a school in Wales, I thought that I would look again at the latest statistics regarding youth custody for uder18s in England and Wales. Youth justice statistics: 2024 to 2025 – GOV.UK

The table below is abstracted from Table 7.2: Youth custody population, year on year monthly trends (under 18s only), years ending March 2001 to 2025 omitting the data for the years before 2014/15

Financial Year	Apr	Jul	Oct	Jan	Feb	Mar	Average monthly population
2014/15	1,078	1,111	1,033	976	988	1,002	1,031
2015/16	999	1,003	997	921	877	881	946
2016/17	906	857	872	862	863	858	870
2017/18	910	914	898	874	865	922	897
2018/19	938	882	853	806	827	832	856
2019/20	795	811	791	751	770	737	776
2020/21	664	563	535	532	536	516	558
2021/22	493	479	449	426	414	422	447
2022/23	432	457	434	437	467	452	447
2023/24	457	443	429	397	411	410	425
2024/25	427	437	400	406	398	402	412

The decline in custody numbers even during the period between 2-014/15 and 2024/25 is significant, especially taking into account the growth in the number of young people in the older age groups 11-18 during the period under review.

In April 2014, there were 1,078 under-18s in custody. In March 2024 that number had reduced to 402. This was just five above the lowest number in recent history, recorded in January 2024.

For girls, the average number in custody in 2025 was just 10, compared with 42 in 2015. So, the girl convicted of stabbing teachers in Wales really does join a very small number of other girls in custody.

The most worrying number within the 402 is the number on remand. This number stood at 183 in March 2025, some 44% of the total. This compared with just 23% in March 2015. The backlog of trails post-Covid is well known. There is surely a case for fast tracking cases for those under-18s on remand. No child of school-age should be locked up a day longer than necessary. A backlog of trials is not a good enough reason to leave a young person languishing in custody.

Violence against the person offences, offences that would include attempted murder – the offence the girl in Wales was sentenced to custody for – now account for 68% of the primary offences for young people under-18 in custody, compared to just 31% of those in custody in 2015. One should always be wary of using percentages, since the absolute numbers have declined from 317 in March 2014 to 284 in March 2025. It is just that custody for other offences, especially for both domestic burglary and robbery producing custodial sentences have declined even faster than custody for offences of violence against the person.

One concern about the decline in custody is that under-18s in Young Offenders Institutions may now be serving sentences or on remand further from home than in the past, as the number of institutions in use reduces with the reduction in the custody population. This is an issue that policymakers may wish to address. When Cabinet Member in Oxfordshire, I did my best to keep young offenders out of Feltham YOI, but acknowledged that the alternative YOIs were further away., should there have been no alternative to that form of custody.

The use of custody for undr-18s has come a long way since the bleak days of the Blair government and police targets, when August 2006 saw more than 3,000 under-18s in custody. Even with this massive reduction, I think we are less violent society, despite some headlines in the press and on social media.

Violence in schools: what will SEND White Paper say?

Posted on February 20, 2026 by John Howson

There is an interesting interview on the BBC website with one of the teachers stabbed at a school in Wales in 2024 Ammanford stabbing victim Liz Hopkin criticises knife crime plan for schools – BBC News I was sorry to hear of the incident, and would like to express my sympathy for the teachers that were the victims and the students that saw the attack.

What makes the story interesting to me is that the stabbing was by a girl and that she later received a sentence of 15 years in detention. The girl was just 13, and the picture shows a multi-tool knife that might better be described as a ‘bladed instrument’.

Regular readers will know that in January 1977, I was stabbed in the classroom, when I was teaching a Year 11 class, by an intruder aged 15 who had been a former pupil at the school. Sentencing at that time for young people meant he received a six-month detention in custody from a judge at the Old Bailey, after pleading guilty to aggravated burglary. In those days, The Metropolitan Police would not consider a charge such as attempted murder, as the intent to kill was not clear. Presumably, it was in the attacks in Wales? The responsibility of us all | John Howson

Even without all the details, but reading the BBC article, I think that 15 years in detention was a questionable sentence, and I wonder whether it was upheld on appeal? There may be a case for a deterrent sentence, but reading between the lines of the BBC report, this young person clearly had issues identified by the school. That doesn’t make the action acceptable, but does raise questions about the length of sentence, especially when some of those accused of murder have shorter whole-life sentences.

Murders with a sharp instrument were down in2024/25 compared with the previous year.

“New figures from the Office for National Statistics show that police-recorded offences involving a knife or sharp instrument in England and Wales fell by 9% in the year ending September 2025, with 50,430 offences recorded.

This marks the second consecutive annual decrease and brings knife crime levels below those seen before the pandemic.

While this reduction is welcome, knife-enabled offences remain significantly higher than in previous years. Levels are still around 54% higher than a decade ago, and serious violence and robbery continue to account for a large proportion of recorded offences.” Knife Crime Statistics | The Ben Kinsella Trust

We must, as a society continue to do more to reduce violence, and to protect those in the frontline, including teachers. However, I don’t advocate Knife arches for schools, but I do think this is an area within SEND that needs more attention. Whether a reassessment of EHCPs at the end of primary schooling would help is an interesting question, but I would hope that risk assessments already take place. I would be interested to know if the girl in question has an EHCP at the time the crime was committed?

Liz, the victim stated in the BBC interview that

We’re not getting the financial support within schools, within external agencies such as youth services, mental health services, all of those supportive services… all of that is being eroded.”

We do need to ensure that we don’t just focus on SEND in schools, but do ensure the decline in youth services is reversed. It is not good enough just to focus our attention on what happens in schools and colleges.

I don’t want knife arches in schools

Posted on October 9, 2025 by John Howson

The BBC has conducted a survey of knife crime in schools, using Freedom of Information data from police forces. Children as young as four taking knives into school, BBC finds – BBC News

As regular readers of the blog know, this is a topic of personal interest to me because of what I experienced as a teacher nearly 50 years ago. Knife crime: do we need mandatory sentences? | John Howson

I am sorry for the mother whose son was stabbed to death in school by another pupil, that death, as any death anywhere, is a matter of shame on society.

However, I think that the general secretary of ASCL quoted in the BBC piece has it about right.

‘The Association of Schools and College Leaders says while it is relatively rare for pupils to bring knives into schools, it would like to see greater efforts across society to tackle the issue.

“More than a decade of cuts to community policing and youth outreach programmes has meant school leaders, too often, find themselves with little or no support,” says general secretary, Pepe Di’lasio.’

Cuts to youth services and too many images of knives in entertainment don’t help, as does a lack of teachers serving in high-risk schools long enough to build relationships with pupils.

It is interesting that the academy trust mentioned by the BBC as introducing metal detection arches is located in the West Midlands. The police in that area, according to the BBC, report much higher levels of knife crime incidents in education establishment than other police forces, so perhaps for now some form of detection is acceptable.

However, I would not want detection arches to become a permanent feature or school life. At some point society has to defuse such situations. Schools should not become like airports, after all rail and underground stations function without metal detectors, but not without incidents.

There needs to be a risk assessment, and the issue needs to be kept in proportion. In 2024, the BBC data showed an incidence of 21 knife offence in schools per 1,000,000 students. If there are 6 million students that’s 126 offences per year. I think that the expenditure on knife detecting arches could be better spent elsewhere, and such arches won’t protect students on school buses before they reach the school.

For those children below the age of criminal responsibility, any child with a knife is a matter for Children’s Services, and for parents to explain how their child could leave home with a knife.

Finally, I would ban knives and swords from shop window displays. Such display glorifies weapons, and have no place on our high streets.

For those that want to know more about young people and knife crime this presentation by the youth Justice board from August 2025 is a useful introduction. Knife Crime, Key Evidence and Insights, Aug 2025

According to the government, in the year ending March 2024, there were just over 3,200 knife or offensive weapon offences committed by children resulting in a caution or sentence, which is 6% fewer than the previous year but 20% greater than 10 years ago. This is the sixth consecutive year-on-year decrease.

In the latest year, the vast majority (99.7%) of knife or offensive weapon offences committed by children were possession offences and the remaining 0.1% were threatening with a knife or offensive weapon offences.

In the year ending March 2024, 61% of disposals given to children for a knife or offensive weapon offence were a community sentence. This proportion is broadly stable over the last 10 years.

The proportion of children sentenced to immediate custody was 7% in the last year, which is the same level it has been for the last three years. Youth Justice Statistics: 2023 to 2024 – GOV.UK

A very small but important minority

Posted on August 15, 2022 by John Howson

The DfE have recently updated their study on ‘Education, children’s social care and offending, descriptive statistics’ with some 10 case studies of different local authorities. One of the case studies is of Haringey, the north London borough. Education, children’s social care and offending – GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)

Regular readers of this blog will know why I have focused on this report. For new readers, I started my teaching career in a school in Tottenham that is part of the Borough of Haringey. For personal reasons this study also brings back memories of a particular incident in January 1977 that found me on the front page of The Daily Mirror.

Much of what is in the analysis will not surprise readers, and the authors go out of their way to remind everyone reading the report that a causal relationship cannot be inferred from any characteristic.

I do have a slight issue with the choice of offences listed. There are no driving offences, such as ‘death by dangerous or careless driving’ in the list, although in my view they involve violence. Perhaps, there weren’t any recorded offences in these categories. Maybe, the same reason will apply to ‘aggravated burglary’ that can include violence.

I would recommend this report or one of the others in the selection of the ten authorities to any new teacher. Indeed, much more focus should probably be placed on the teaching of challenging pupils during teacher preparation courses. Interestingly, the report doesn’t allocate points to characteristics and score the profile of a young person ‘at risk’. He is likely to be male; few females even these days commit offences in the categories included. He is likely to do better at maths than English: an interesting observation. For the rest, you can read the report and look at the graphs, although some data are so small as to be suppressed, as they might allow individuals to be identified.

For policymakers, and I include our next Prime Minister in that group, there has to be a consideration as to whether the focus on the subjects in the English Baccalaureate and a lack of resources for practical and vocational might have had cost implications for society. Those that successfully complete their education may well be less likely to commit acts of violence.

This blog has been championing a Jacob’s Law and has also supported the need for inter-agency working. I am not clear whether this report also considered children not yet in school because they had just moved into Haringey, and their offending behaviour.

What seems certain is that spending on those at the late stage of primary education and early secondary schooling may well be worthwhile. Indeed, ensuring every child, regardless of SEND needs, can read and write is something we ought to strive to achieve, so that no child starts secondary school regarded by the school as a failure.

The depressing fact is that such a statement could have been made at any time in the history of education. We know the problem, but have not been willing to create the solution.

New readers start here

Posted on April 20, 2021 by John Howson

There are a bumper set of local elections across England on 6^th May. Some people are finding their way to this site as a result of the fact that I am defending my county council seat in Oxfordshire and also standing as the Lib Dem candidate for Police and Crime Commissioner in Thames Valley – as I did in the previous two elections for this post.

To help those reaching the site as a result of wanting to know more about my published views on this blog, I have brought together some links to posts over the years. Some are more personal than others.

Over time views may also alter as circumstances alter. Thus schools becoming academies is now a different matter to the situation when this blog first started.

Any way here are links to some posts you might want to read first:

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2019/03/07/knife-crime-must-be-tackled/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2014/05/09/knife-crime-do-we-need-mandatory-sentences/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2019/08/11/rods-poles-and-perches/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2019/03/11/support-youth-justice/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2018/11/14/isolation-poor-use-of-funding/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2018/05/03/upturn-in-average-number-of-young-people-in-custody/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2014/06/22/supreme-court-one-parliament-a-half/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2021/01/23/time-for-jacobs-law/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2018/11/23/memories/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2019/04/05/a-parent-in-prison-is-not-a-crime/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2018/08/28/crime-and-a-lack-of-learning/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2018/04/14/the-responsibility-of-us-all/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2016/12/16/thank-you-mr-taylor/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2015/01/29/can-we-halve-the-number-of-women-in-prison/

https://johnohowson.wordpress.com/2013/04/23/youth-numbers-in-custody-halve-in-a-decade/

There are rather more than I remembered writing, but with more than 1,100p posts I guess that isn’t really a surprise.

Support Youth Justice

Posted on March 11, 2019 by John Howson

One of the success stories of the past decade has been the reduction in the number of young people held in custody, both on remand and after sentencing. Sadly, with the present increase in ‘knife’ crime that trend may well be reversed over the coming few months.

Perhaps the increase in violent crime might have been reduced in scale had the Funding to help local authorities keep young people away from crime and re-offending not been halved since 2010. Youth justice grants, which fund council youth offending teams, have been reduced from £145m in 2010-11 to £71.5m in 2018-19, according to the Local Government Association. Furthermore, even though councils have already set their budgets for 2019-20, they are still awaiting their allocations for youth justice grants, thus, according to the Local Government Association, making it “extremely difficult” to plan services aimed at preventing gangs and violent crime.

Now it stands to reason that although the number of young people entering the youth Justice system is sharply down on the terrible days of the Labour government – by some 86% for the drop in first time entrants to the youth justice system – again according to the Local Government Association, many already in the system may be continuing to reoffend. . https://www.publicfinance.co.uk/news/2019/03/youth-offending-team-funding-halved?utm_source=Adestra&utm_medium=email&utm_term=

Cutting the grant for Youth Justice Services seems like another short-sighted attempt to save cash, where it may have actually had the opposite result in practice. Youth offending teams cannot devise schemes to held reduce re-offing, especially among what used to be termed ‘persistent young offenders’ if they no longer have the funds to do their work.

So, here is a suggestion. Any secondary school with more than 8% of its current annual revenue grant held in reserves and also with an above average figure for permanent exclusions across years 10 and 11 and any off-rolling of pupils in those years for pupils with SEND should have 50% of the excess of their reserves above the 8% level removed by the government and reallocated to the local Youth Offending Team.

Yes, the suggestion is crude, and if it catches any genuine cases, then the local Youth Offending Team can work with those schools to reallocate the funds to appropriate programmes.

This is a one-off short-term solution to allow government, in this time of policy paralysis, to find a better long-term solution to the increase in crime among teenagers and the cash to support new programmes over the longer-term.

At present, although more schools are reporting deficits, some have put money aside for a rainy day in a prudent manner, these latter group of schools would only be affected under these proposals if they had also shifted the burden of educating some challenging pupils onto others.

Cash in reserves is sterile public money, and with a need to deal with the present increase in violent crime, something needs to be done and quickly. Of course, if the government can find new cash in the Spring Statement my solution won’t be necessary.

John Howson

Education and the numbers that affect what happens

Tag Archives: violent crime