In the previous post I considered some of the evidence about the vacancies for promoted posts in geography and whether there were issues that were becoming more challenging. The evidence seems to point to the fact that post-pandemic, and especially in 2022, recruitment has become more of a challenge.
The question discussed in this post s whether the challenge affects schools across England as a whole or is confined to certain regions. Evidence from previous studies of the market as a whole have indicated that schools in an around London fact more significant recruitment challenges that schools located further away from the capital and its large graduate labour market.
The evidence for promoted posts in geography where there the data shows a strong presumption of a re-advertisement is shown in the table.
| Schools with re-advertisements | |||
| Regions | Number | All Schools | % with re-adverts |
| London | 49 | 968 | 5.1% |
| South East | 29 | 983 | 3.0% |
| East England | 20 | 709 | 2.8% |
| West Midlands | 9 | 608 | 1.5% |
| Yorkshire & The Humber | 6 | 440 | 1.4% |
| East Midlands | 5 | 502 | 1.0% |
| North West | 4 | 644 | 0.6% |
| North East | 1 | 264 | 0.4% |
| South West | 2 | 537 | 0.4% |
| Total | 125 | 5655 | 2.2% |
The evidence from the table would seem to confirm the presumption that schools in London and the Home counties do indeed find recruiting teachers of geography for positions related to promoted posts with TLRs or other allowances related to the job title than schools elsewhere in England. This holds true even after taking into account the number of secondary schools in the region covered by TeachVac at the present time. However, overall re-advertisement rates are not high even in London, although they may well be on the increase.
The further away from London a school is located, the less likely it has been to need to re-advertise a post in geography with a TLR or other allowance attached. The difference between schools in London and those in either the North East or South West is stark.
The previous posts discussed the issue of the growth of re-advertisements during 2022, and it would seem that schools in and around London have been most affected by the increase.
The next piece of evidence to consider is whether schools with lower-than-average scores in 2022 on either Attainment 8 or Progress 8 are more likely than schools with better scores to re-advertise a promoted post in geography? As an alternative, the percentage of pupils with Free School Meals might also be considered, but the current cost of living crisis may make that indicator less reliable as a proxy for school performance.
One implication of this study is that the operation of the housing market in relation to public sector salary scales may be important when teachers can move form high-cost areas to this with lower housing costs, but not in the opposite direction.