45,000 teacher vacancies were advertised so far in 2022. There were only 65,000 vacancies advertised during the whole of 2021, so demand in 2022 is much higher than in recent years. The pool of teachers to fill these vacancies has largely been exhausted, and secondary schools seeking teachers of most subjects, apart for PE, history, drama and art, will struggle to find candidates to appoint during the remainder of 2022 regardless of wherever the school is located in England.

The data, correct up to Friday 29^th April was collected by TeachVac, the National Vacancy Service for all teachers. www.teachvac.co.uk The situation in terms of teacher supply at the end of April is worse than in any of the eight years that TeachVac has been collecting data on teacher vacancies.  

Schools can recruit teachers from various sources, including those on initial teacher training courses where they are not already committed to a school (Teach First and School Direct Salaried trainees are employed by specific schools); teachers moving schools and the broad group classified as ‘returners’ to teaching. This last group includes that previously economically inactive, usually as a result of a career break to care for young children or elderly relatives, plus those switching from other sectors of education including further education or returning from a period teaching overseas.

In extremis, where schools cannot find any candidates from these routes, a school may employ an ‘unqualified teacher’. This year that may include Ukrainian teachers displaced by the war as well as anyone else willing to take a teaching post. This was the route that I entered teaching in 1971. Generally, such teachers need considerable support in the early stages of their careers.

Normally, the labour market for teachers is a ‘free market’ with vacancies advertised and anyone free to apply. Can such a situation be allowed to continue? The DfE should convene a summit of interested parties to discuss the consequences of the present lack of supply of teachers facing schools across England looking to recruit a teacher in a wide range of subjects.

On the agenda should be, the effect of a lack of supply on the levelling up agenda; the costs of trying to recruit teachers; how best to use the remaining supply of PE, history, art, drama and primary sector trained teachers to make maximum use of scare resources, and how to handle any influx of ‘unqualified’ teachers.

The data for geography teacher vacancies, not normally seen as a shortage subject, reveals the seriousness of the current position for schools still seeking to fill a vacancy for September 2022 or faced with an unexpected vacancy in the autumn for January 2023.

	jobs 2015	jobs 2016	jobs 2017	jobs 2018	jobs 2019	jobs 2020	jobs 2021	jobs 2022
07/01/2022	25	32	20	24	6	6	16	35
14/01/2022	56	79	76	75	47	56	41	92
21/01/2022	56	129	130	135	93	119	73	164
28/01/2022	114	152	165	174	159	186	106	240
04/02/2022	157	188	200	220	208	265	149	324
11/02/2022	182	236	235	270	262	341	206	399
18/02/2022	190	261	272	302	324	436	250	471
25/02/2022	190	291	318	336	356	476	268	541
04/03/2022	254	349	383	370	398	537	321	625
11/03/2022	289	387	438	468	477	629	375	739
18/03/2022	320	423	491	492	527	712	421	834
25/03/2022	367	451	537	533	592	754	487	958
01/04/2022	381	487	593	580	656	794	553	1078
08/04/2022	381	512	638	603	747	837	578	1175
15/04/2022	483	565	662	639	801	870	601	1220
22/04/2022	550	624	695	687	826	902	664	1288
29/04/2022	613	680	767	788	881	966	748	1440
06/05/2022	652	711	825	863	986	1029	814
13/05/2022	715	767	884	936	1063	1088	903
20/05/2022	778	814	932	1007	1137	1153	977
27/05/2022	803	845	987	1068	1208	1190	1043

With recruitment into training for courses starting in September 2022, already under pressure the issue of teacher supply is not just one for this year. Unless teaching is made a more attractive career and steps are taken to ensure maximum effective use of the teachers available then some children’s education will be compromised and their future career choices put in jeopardy.