Is PE now a shortage subject?

What a silly question. Everyone knows that there is an over-supply of trained PE teachers entering the labour market for teachers each year. This blog has said so often enough in the past. In previous years, the combination of over-recruitment onto training courses and a consistent level of demand has always meant that by the end of a calendar year there were always more PE teachers looking for jobs than posts available.

In 2022, the situation is slightly different. Yes, recruitment in Autumn 2021 onto ITT courses remained healthy, but the surge in vacancies for teachers recorded across the board during 2022 has swept PE along with the tide.

Using the index TeachVac developed in 2015, and has used since, to measure demand against the known level of supply, 2022 has seen the index for PE teachers turn negative for the first time ever this autumn.  (The dataset is at the foot of this post). The current index produced a figure of -135 on Friday 11th November 2022. This compares with a figure of -2273 for design and technology teachers, so it is still of a different order of magnitude but is in negative territory for the first time since I started recording the index.

At this level, the index points to regional shortages rather than a universal issue recruiting PE teacher across the whole of England. There are parts of the country where any late vacancy for a PE teacher for January 2023 can be filled easily. But there are other areas, notably those some distance from providers of training where schools would likely need to rely upon returners or switching their timetable around to cover unexpected vacancies.

Schools with contracts with recruitment agencies might like to check, as I assume they do on a regular basis anyway, how many PE teachers the agency has on its books. Schools should never wait to ask when they need a vacancy filled but should be aware of which agency can supply the best range of teachers to fill unanticipated vacancies. This is, perhaps, an area of recruitment where there is room for some more sophistication on the part of schools and MATs.

So, why the mini recruitment crisis in PE? Perhaps the rising school population plays a part, as does possible departures form the profession as the range of other possible jobs, from personal trainer, to working in leisure centres or teaching overseas has increased. Schools might also have seen PE teachers are useful support for their science and other departments where recruitment has been a challenge for some time now. The use of PE teachers across other curriculum subjects provides a reservoir of talent but can pose an issue for a school with a in-year vacancy if external recruitment does prove challenging.

If this week’s NAHT survey is anything to go by, this will be a short-lived problem as schools see funding decline and staffing number reduced. We shall see what Wednesday’s Autumn Statement brings for schools: good news may be in short supply.

Date20152016201720182019202020212022
07/01/2022114911209559811164121914981455
14/01/2022114411089439701148119914881427
21/01/2022114411009309581130117414741395
28/01/2022114110939169451107114814581360
04/02/2022112410829049311082112114401339
11/02/2022111810718919141062109014201298
18/02/2022111710668819021040104914071267
25/02/2022111710538678921026102913901241
04/03/2022110510348508811009100413671194
11/03/20221098101783085198496713411152
18/03/2022108899981084296491713221102
25/03/2022107997879782592789112971056
01/04/2022107196878180289787412651002
08/04/202210719597687858598501251952
15/04/202210579397577728388341237926
22/04/202210399147447388228251208899
29/04/202210218917136907978001161829
06/05/202210048766866517407671119737
13/05/20229938576526086837381073633
20/05/20229868346275616357051030553
27/05/2022979817605528590684998480
03/06/2022962808590521569677978447
10/06/2022945790568484532659952374
17/06/2022938772546469501646930315
24/06/2022930765537455481637914271
01/07/2022922761530447466628901232
08/07/2022917756524435454621893208
15/07/2022915748519425443616886195
22/07/2022915745517420440612884183
29/07/2022915745513418438610882177
05/08/2022915743510416437609879175
12/08/2022915741506416436609877171
19/08/2022915741506415435606875166
26/08/2022915741503412433605871161
02/09/2022915738501411432604868152
09/09/2022913736497406425601857132
16/09/2022903731489400409592842107
23/09/202289772748238539558482479
30/09/202289071647037437257080542
07/10/20228827104613553475577856
14/10/2022873704452350325545763-30
21/10/2022864699441337304530744-62
28/10/2022862692435334291517736-76
04/11/2022858683430326284512715-105
11/11/2022852674421314267501690-135
18/11/2022847662409295252486668
25/11/2022842652402292239477648
02/12/2022840647395280222462633
09/12/2022833642388273207452618
16/12/2022828632384262196447599
23/12/2022825626378253183436
30/12/2022

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